Published Research
1) The effect of central bank transparency on inflation persistence
In this paper, we examine the effect of central bank transparency on inflation persistence, using panel data analysis. The existing literature has shown a significant impact of central bank transparency on macroeconomic variables, such as inflation, but not many efforts have been made about its effect on inflation persistence. We use yearly data for 14 countries and the Eurozone (EU19). We find that monetary policy transparency has a negative statistically significant impact on inflation persistence, while controlling also for important variables such as GDP growth, interest rates, economic openness and unit labor cost.
https://www.zbw.eu/econis-archiv/bitstream/11159/6016/1/1751365972_0.pdf
2) Carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions: the role of monetary policy, fiscal policy, and institutional quality
Environmental control remains a salient aspect of states’ policies in the present decade. To reduce emissions, governments and central banks tend to adopt various strategies. The present research quantifies the nexus between fiscal and monetary policy, institutions’ quality, central bank characteristics, and carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions. Data has been sourced from 95 countries during the period from 1998 to 2019. According to the empirical results, the main determinants of gas emissions in developing countries are economic growth, government expenses, and central bank independence, whereas, in developed countries, they are economic growth, government efficiency, and central bank transparency and independence. Economic growth is a significant deteriorating factor in the state of the environment. By contrast, institutional and bureaucratic quality, measured through government effectiveness and expansionary fiscal policies as well as central bank independence and transparency, are ameliorating factors, as they decrease emissions. To conclude, governments must first reduce control over central banks and target government spending on the energy transition.
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/13/4733
3) Central Bank Credibility’s Effect on Stock Exchange Returns’ Volatility: Evidence from OECD Countries
Central bank characteristics are important determinants of stock market returns and their volatility. While the literature has examined the effects of transparency and independence, no research has been conducted so far on the effect of central bank credibility on stock market returns’ volatility. A panel regression using financial and macroeconomic data from 45 OECD member countries over the period of 1998–2022 tested the hypothesis that central bank credibility determines stock exchange returns’ volatility. The results indicated that credibility reduces stock returns’ volatility, remaining robust and statistically significant across models. Economic growth also decreases stock market volatility, while money-market interest rates’ volatility, the stock market’s turnover ratio, and economic/financial crises act as amplifying factors of stock market volatility. All variables, except for economic growth, exhibit unidirectional causality, leading to changes in stock market volatility.